Jigsaw Trading Blog

Jigsaw Trading wins awards at “futures.io” and “Trader Planet”

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In a great start to the New Year, Jigsaw Trading has won awards at 2 industry leading Trading sites. On the Futures.ioTrue Edge Awards” Jigsaw came first in the “Trading Product of the Year” category. Over at Trader Planet’sStar Awards“, we came first in the “Trading Software: Forex/Futures” category. Peter Davies, CEO of Jigsaw Trading also won the “Journal of the Year” category.

We think this reflects the fact that Jigsaw Trading pays keen attention to support, continues efforts in product development and the fact that we listen to customers. In addition, we stay away from the hype and B.S. that many companies use to fool new traders into thinking they have some “instant solution” to trading or a fix to a problem the customer doesn’t really have (e.g. “HFTs are taking all your money, buy our software to beat them”).  Look out for lots more from Jigsaw Trading in 2017!

 

About futures.io

The community, futures io, is home to over 85,000 traders – making it the largest futures trading community in the world. Over 75k unique users visit each month (about 8k per day), and they add around 1k new registered members monthly.

Their audience breaks down as follows: 80% are trading futures, 10% trading equities/ETF’s, and 10% spot forex. Of the futures traders, they breakdown as follows: 50% are trading index futures, 25% commodity futures, 15% currency futures, and 10% interest/bond futures.

Most of the active members on the site have paid a one-time membership fee (currently $100) in order to be part of the community, which demonstrates the seriousness of the member base and gives them a unique vested interest in the site. It is because of this that the quality of their content is superior to many others, with an excellent signal-to-noise ratio.

About the futures.io True Edge Awards

In January 2017, they held an open nomination process whereby their members could openly nominate anyone they chose in 13 different categories. Some of those categories are: Futures Broker of the Year, Options Broker of the Year, Trading Platform of the Year, Options Platform of the Year, Mobile Platform of the Year, Data Feed of the Year, and Trading Product of the Year. There are also an additional six categories that are focused on user contributed content on their site, including: Member of the Year, Webinar of the Year, Thread of the Year, Journal of the Year, Programmer of the Year, and Indicator of the Year.

They then opened their voting system so that traders around the world could vote for their favorite in each category. When the voting closed, they selected the top three winners in each category and have awarded them as 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place (Gold, Silver, Bronze awards).

About Trader Planet

TraderPlanet.com is an Inc. 500 financial publisher headquartered in Tampa Bay, FL, built to be the ultimate one-stop destination for anyone that has an interest in growing their trading knowledge base. They strive to maintain a full compendium of educational trading information, including original content, timely strategies and resources, to help self-directed traders of all proficiencies find credible information to achieve their financial goals.

The Jigsaw Trading journal

Peter Davies, under the psuedonym “DionysusToast” has, for a number of years been posting his “pre-market prep” on the futures.io forum. The reason for this is summed up nicely on the futures.io forum itself. It’s Peter’s analysis of likely scenarios he feels will play out in the coming trading day and how he feels it would be best traded.

Many members often ask “Why should I create a trade journal?”, and the question is answered countless times by those with the experience of doing so. By committing to a public journal, you hold yourself accountable. The biggest issue most traders face is related to accepting risk, so by posting publicly you will be more likely to follow your plan and also acknowledge your errors.

When you don’t post publicly, you are far more likely to gloss over the errors you’ve made and dismiss them as unimportant or rare events. It is human nature. However, once you start making posts routinely, you can find patterns in your behavior by analyzing your past. These patterns are near impossible to discover without a detailed journal.

Anything that keeps you consistent is a good thing in trading, especially when there’s no ‘boss’ looking over your shoulder to keep you focused.

FREE BONUS: Take a look into the decision-making process of professional traders with this video training series that helps you make smarter trading decisions. (Article continues below)

Order Flow itself is simply information. Just like charts, it can be used in a number of ways, some good and some bad. But let's first break down order flow into it's components so we all agree what we are talking about:

Order Executions/Tape Reading - This aspect is the real flow of orders. It's the information we see in Time & Sales, Footprint Charts, Cumulative Delta. It is looking at market orders, either as they execute or historically. I guess this is the "true order flow". Every trade is a buy and a sell. We look at market orders because we consider them to be more aggressive. When someone trades with a market orders, they are giving up a price to get an instant fill. Limit orders on the other hand just lazily sit there waiting for a market order to hit them. Often these are market makers with no directional conviction. So we see market orders as being more significant.

But we don't use these in isolation.

Volume Profile/Positions - The tape reading part helps us assess various things like momentum, traders getting stuck, balance of trade BUT the volume profile helps us understand where people are positioned and likely to get stopped out. I sometimes call this "Order Flew". It's important to know when trades will be "washed out" - for example - if we have a volume cluster on the S&P500 Futures and the market moves up 100 points and back down to it, it's unlikely short term traders on either side that were positioned there will still be there. But recent, nearby volume helps us assess areas of positions.

Market Depth - The bids and offers, the lazy passive orders waiting to be hit. This is part of the story but in terms of overall importance, I'd put it at around 20% at most. For example - if you return to the high of the day on any market, the offers will be quite large directly above the high. It means nothing at all. It's just a quirk of the market. It does not help you tell if a price will hold. On the other hand, if you see large depth and as we approach it, we see more added to the depth in front of that price, it means others are front running that depth and that is a useful bit of information.

This is the key - it is all just information. Just like price charts are information. When people look at Order Flow, they consider it to be a technique more than a set of information. They look for things like iceberg orders and decide to make a one rule trading system to fade every iceberg, For these people - yes, order flow trading is overrated because they are trying to ignore everything else going on in the markets and construct a trading system a chimp could execute.

For those looking to improve a decent trading approach, the best thing to focus on in Order Flow is momentum. Once you can read momentum you can:

  • Avoid getting into positions when momentum is against you.
  • Confirm trades are working after entry when momentum goes your way.
  • Exit trades in profit when momentum fades.

That's perhaps the easiest way to use order flow because momentum is easier to read. It's about the market continuing to do what it's already doing. On the other hand, reading a turn in the market with order flow takes a higher level of skill and a little longer to learn.

Order flow can't put lipstick on a pig. It won't help you 'improve' something that doesn't work anyway, which is why whenever someone calls me, the first thing I ask is what they are currently doing and we discuss whether they need a reset or whether it will actually help.

When Jigsaw started back in 2011 - we were one of the first in the space and certainly had the best education. It was always going to attract the underbelly of the trading education/tools world and now we see stuff out there that is so complex but so impressive and futuristic that new traders are drawn to it like moths to a flame.

So here's my advice when looking at Order Flow

  • Order Flow can't improve something that doesn't work.
  • Order Flow can be used on it's own, without charts to enter and exit the market but you also have to be able to recognize different market states that need different/altered setups. There is nothing magical about this.
  • Don't start jumping at shadows and take 50 trades an hour in your first week looking at Order Flow, be selective. It can be exciting to see cause and effect play out in front of you for the first time but don't overtrade.
  • Do drills to learn how to read it before you trade it.
  • Markets can only go up and down. Don't overcomplicate it. If you have too many Order Flow tools on your screen - you will not be able to make consistent decisions. Less is more.
  • Take time to choose a market with a pace you like. Interest rates might send you to sleep, the DAX might give you a heart attack.

It is hard to see how a set of information could be overrated. It is true that some methods of presenting this information are better than others. It is also true that some people simply get on better with different tools (e.g. Footprint vs DOM).

There's a middle ground between complexity and simplicity that will leave you making consistent decisions where you improve over time. For those people, Order Flow will be way underrated because they will be the one's getting the most out of it.

Those that jump in with both feet on day one and those that have 100 different tools up, for those, it's a painful experience.

Keep it simple and manageable. Start with momentum reading and build from there. You will never look back.

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